Buying The Big Bank CBA

Commonwealth Bank (CBA) is the nation’s largest bank by market capitalisation, a true blue chip share that holds the greatest amount of deposits, the most home loans, and also controls a fair chunk of the wealth management market through Colonial First State.

The bank also operates Australia’s largest discount online brokerage operation, Commsec, as well as a multitude of international operations. Importantly, the bank has used its size to grow even bigger over the years. While many financial institutions collapsed over the global economic downturn – or neared collapse – CBA used its massive deposit base to maintain funding and buy depressed assets.

The banking giant also has diverse exposure geographically with stakes in several banks in the fast growing China.

1Q13 Trading Update

Despite facing slowing credit growth, CBA was still able to generate solid earnings growth in 1Q13. The group reported a 1Q13 statutory profit of $1.8 billion. Unaudited cash profit, a measure more reflective of underlying performance, was $1.85 billion, a 5.7% increase on the prior corresponding quarter. A breakdown of the results revealed net interest margins (NIM) were broadly stable in the quarter, relative to 2H12 NIM of 2.06%. The company noted that asset repricing impacts were largely offset by continued deposit pricing pressures. The company’s’ trading income improved to a level consistent with the company’s long-term average run-rate, the result was also helped by a positive Credit Valuation Adjustment.

CBA’s asset growth was mainly a function if of increased retail deposits, which now make up of 63% of the group’s total funding. The Australian Retail division had a particularly good quarter, with improved lending margins, improved credit quality and good growth in customer numbers at its Bankwest subsidiary. The Wealth Management and Insurance division produced solid volume growth, with Funds under Administration and Funds under Management growing by 6% and 4% respectively. Insurance premiums grew by 3%, with cross selling to the banks retail customer base showed signs of improved penetration. With regards to CBA’s other division, the bank said most were trending at similar run rates to the 2H12.

Looking ahead

CBA’s quarterly update was solid, with a clearly improved tone from previous periods. Although the company did note slower revenue growth, it did increase profits by over 5%, this is an indication that the group has been able cut its expenses to cover for any reduction in revenue. On a return on equity (ROE) basis, CBA does look attractive to its major rivals, with an average (ROE over the last three years of 17.6%, which is over 1% higher than any of its rivals.

Overall we expect a continuation of growth for CBA’s earnings in the current quarter, and this should hopefully translate into continued share price appreciation. This article was distributed to our members on November 30th, if you would like further information you can sign up for FREE 7day recommendations and access all our research files on not only Commonwealth Bank but all our current trading ideas. Simply click here and starting trading today.

The Reject Shop Limited (TRS) Solid Growth

The Reject Shop (TRS) is a discount variety retail company, targeting Australian consumers through low price points, bargain-purchasing and convenient shopping locations. The group has 239 stores in Australia, which includes the 18 new stores it added in FY12.

TRS offers a wide variety of general consumer merchandise, with a focus on everyday needs, such as toiletries, cosmetics, homewares, personal care products, hardware, basic furniture, household cleaning products, kitchenware, confectionery and snack food.

The company has two key advantages that many of its mid-to-upper market rivals don’t - a strong AUD benefits earnings due to lower import costs, whilst the substitute nature of its products can appeal to cost-conscious consumers.

FY12 results

After a somewhat disappointing FY11, TRS got itself back on track in FY12. The company grew its net profit by 35.6% on-year, to $21.9 million. The addition of 18 new stores helped sales climb 9.9% over the year, to $555.3 million.

An increase in the amount of stores was not the only reason for the jump in sales; comparable store sales grew 0.5% over the year, with a 3.2% jump in the second half.

The group’s balance sheet is also in a healthy position. TRS was able to reduce its debt by $16.9 million in FY12, while increasing free cash flow from $1 million in FY11 to $25.2 million in FY12.

A strong Aussie dollar combined with a reduction in shipping costs saw the company’s gross margin rise from 38.9% in FY11, to 44.1% in FY12.

Consumer environment

Australian retailers have been operating in an extremely challenging consumer environment, but we could be seeing a return to better conditions.

Last week saw the release of the Westpac Consumer Sentiment survey, which showed the consumer sentiment index rising 5.2% to 104.3. It is the highest level the index has been at in 19-months, and the first time over 100 in nine months. A reading above 100 indicates that more consumers are optimistic about the economy than pessimistic.

The main reason for the uplift in the consumer confidence is likely the recent series of rate cuts, and yesterday’s release of the RBA’s minutes from the October meeting did flag the possibility of further interest rates cuts in the coming period, which in turn could see a further increase in confidence.

Outlook

TRS’s FY12 results were impressive on several fronts. The group was able to grow sales on a comparable basis, improve its margins, increase its free cash flow, record a huge jump in profit, all while paying back $16.9 million in debt.

The recent pickup in consumer confidence could not have come at a more perfect time, with the busy Christmas season just around the corner. Whilst the company declined to provide any specific guidance for FY13, we feel that with the addition of 17 new stores before Christmas, strong sales growth is all but assured.

Overall we see continued growth for TRS, which should hopefully translate to further share price appreciation.

The Reject Shop Limited (TRS) Solid Growth

The Reject Shop (TRS) is a discount variety retail company, targeting Australian consumers through low price points, bargain-purchasing and convenient shopping locations. The group has 239 stores in Australia, which includes the 18 new stores it added in FY12.

TRS offers a wide variety of general consumer merchandise, with a focus on everyday needs, such as toiletries, cosmetics, homewares, personal care products, hardware, basic furniture, household cleaning products, kitchenware, confectionery and snack food.

The company has two key advantages that many of its mid-to-upper market rivals don’t - a strong AUD benefits earnings due to lower import costs, whilst the substitute nature of its products can appeal to cost-conscious consumers.

FY12 results

After a somewhat disappointing FY11, TRS got itself back on track in FY12. The company grew its net profit by 35.6% on-year, to $21.9 million. The addition of 18 new stores helped sales climb 9.9% over the year, to $555.3 million.

An increase in the amount of stores was not the only reason for the jump in sales; comparable store sales grew 0.5% over the year, with a 3.2% jump in the second half.

The group’s balance sheet is also in a healthy position. TRS was able to reduce its debt by $16.9 million in FY12, while increasing free cash flow from $1 million in FY11 to $25.2 million in FY12.

A strong Aussie dollar combined with a reduction in shipping costs saw the company’s gross margin rise from 38.9% in FY11, to 44.1% in FY12.

Consumer environment

Australian retailers have been operating in an extremely challenging consumer environment, but we could be seeing a return to better conditions.

Last week saw the release of the Westpac Consumer Sentiment survey, which showed the consumer sentiment index rising 5.2% to 104.3. It is the highest level the index has been at in 19-months, and the first time over 100 in nine months. A reading above 100 indicates that more consumers are optimistic about the economy than pessimistic.

The main reason for the uplift in the consumer confidence is likely the recent series of rate cuts, and yesterday’s release of the RBA’s minutes from the October meeting did flag the possibility of further interest rates cuts in the coming period, which in turn could see a further increase in confidence.

Outlook

TRS’s FY12 results were impressive on several fronts. The group was able to grow sales on a comparable basis, improve its margins, increase its free cash flow, record a huge jump in profit, all while paying back $16.9 million in debt.

The recent pickup in consumer confidence could not have come at a more perfect time, with the busy Christmas season just around the corner. Whilst the company declined to provide any specific guidance for FY13, we feel that with the addition of 17 new stores before Christmas, strong sales growth is all but assured.

Overall we see continued growth for TRS, which should hopefully translate to further share price appreciation.