June 29, 2012

CBA Reported Unadited 3rd Qtr Cash Profit of $1.75b

[caption id="attachment_22406" align="alignleft" width="300" caption="CBA Reported Unadited 3rd Qtr Cash Profit of $1.75b"]CBA Reported Unadited 3rd Qtr Cash Profit of $1.75b[/caption]

Commonwealth Bank (CBA) is the nation’s largest bank by market capitalisation, holds the greatest amount of deposits, the most home loans, and also controls a fair chunk of the wealth management market through Colonial First State.

The financial stock also operates Australia’s largest discount online brokerage operation, Commsec, as well as a multitude of international operations.

Importantly, the bank has used its size to grow even bigger over the years. While many financial institutions collapsed over the global economic downturn – or neared collapse – CBA used its massive deposit base to maintain funding and buy depressed assets.

The banking giant also has diverse exposure geographically with stakes in several banks in the fast growing China.

3rd Quarter Trading Update

CBA last month reported a third quarter unaudited cash profit of $1.75 billion, a 2.9% increase on the prior corresponding quarter.

The results come after the company had a record first half cash profit of $3,576 million, which was a 7% jump on the prior year.

The group warned not only in its first half update, but also in its March quarter update, that higher funding costs have reduced its margins.

However the updates from the bank covered periods before the RBA cut the official cash rate twice for a total of 75 basis points.

CBA only passed 61 points of these cut, we believe that these should help alleviate some of banks margin pressures.

Aussie Banks

Last week Moody’s downgraded 15 major global banks, with Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley also receiving at least a one notch cut its long-term debt rating.  Credit Suisse was downgraded three full notches.

Spanish and Brazilian banks recently had their ratings cut with Spain obviously suffering major downgrades after the government had to borrow money to keep the banks adequately capitalised.

However the Australian banks continue to be rated amongst the highest in the world, all four remain within their AA credit rating band.

Moody’s said that our banks “don't engage in capital markets business and in particular higher-risk activities, like proprietary trading. They are focused on traditional lending for residential mortgages and the corporate sector.”

With the Australian banks in such good condition, and some of the last few AA rated banks globally, they are in a better position than most to borrow funds from wholesale markets.

Looking ahead

CBA said in its quarterly update that it is in a strong position, which continues to enable them to take a long term view of business. This is important as the bank continues to expand its presence in the growing Asian region.

We believe that the bank’s worries of higher funding costs would have subsided or at least eased with the two consecutive rate cuts by RBA.

The bank also remains one of the most attractive of the big four banks, with an average return on equity (ROE) over the last three years of 17.4%, a full 2% higher than any of its rivals.

With three quarters of its fiscal year completed, CBA is on track to be the first Australian bank to make a profit on over $7 billion and we look forward to seeing CBA’s continued success translate into continued gains for its share price.

June 28, 2012

Metcash (MTS) $325m Capital Raising

[caption id="attachment_22391" align="alignleft" width="120" caption="$325m Capital Raising"]$325m Capital Raising[/caption]

Metcash Limited (MTS) is a leading marketing and distribution company operating in the food and other fast moving consumer goods categories.

MTS operates via three business units: IGA Distribution (retail), Campbells Cash & Carry (wholesale) and Australian Liquor Marketers (ALM; liquor wholesale).

Metcash announced a $325 million capital raising, the new shares will be issued at $3.46, which is a 7.5% discount to its previous closing price.

The funds will be used to pursue growth opportunities through acquisitions, as well as provide financial flexibility to take advantage of any future opportunities that may appear.

The group also released its FY earnings, showing a net profit of 90 million Australian dollars, a 63% fall on the prior year’s results.

The company said in a statement that results had been hit by one-off restructuring and impairment costs.

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June 27, 2012

Boral Adjust Profit Guidance

Boral Limited is a manufacturer and supplier of building and construction materials in Australia and internationally.  Boral supplies building products to the residential and commercial building markets, operates clay brick business in the U.S. (for clay roof tiles and fly ash) along with the production of plasterboard, timber products and concrete products. The group is listed on the Australian Stock Exchange and is a member of the S&P/ASX 200.

Boral has downgraded its profit guidance for the second time in a little over two months.

[caption id="attachment_22371" align="alignleft" width="234" caption="Boral Adjust Profit Guidance"]Boral Adjust Profit Guidance[/caption]

It now expects net profit to be between $100 million and $110 million, down from the previously downgraded guidance of $128 million to $153 million.

Interim CEO Ross Batstone said in a statement “a number of recent events have come together to weaken Boral's trading performance in the fourth quarter which add to the impact of ongoing weakness in the Australian new housing construction market."

Boral also noted that the business continues to operate comfortably within its Banking covenants.

June 26, 2012

Seven West Media (SWM) announced that CEO David Leckie would step down

Seven West Media Limited is a national multi-platform media business based in Australia.  The Company's operations include a television network, magazines, newspapers, radio, and Internet.

Seven West Media announced that CEO David Leckie would step down from his role and will be replaced by former Woodside Petroleum CEO Don Voelte.

Mr Leckie who will become and executive director said “It's time for me to take a career step and I'm looking forward to playing a key role in Seven Group Holdings and further enhancing the company's media presence”

The company also reaffirmed its guidance for FY12 that underlying EBIT would be between 460 million Australian dollars and $470 million.

June 25, 2012

Transpacific Industries (TPI) downgraded its FY12 profit

[caption id="attachment_22336" align="alignleft" width="227" caption="TPI reduces FY12 profit guidance"]TPI reduces FY12 profit guidance[/caption]

Transpacific Industries Group Ltd. provides integrated industrial cleaning and waste management solutions to customers across Australia and New Zealand. The Company also imports and distributes heavy-duty commercial vehicles. The group is listed on the Australian Stock Exchange and is a member of the S&P/ASX 200.

 

Transpacific Industries downgraded its FY12 profit guidance from $17.3 million to between $8 million and $13 million.

The group also lowered its EBITDA to between $435 million and $442 million. It had previously guided an EBITDA between $445 million and $459 million.

The company blamed the fall in EBITDA on a decrease in Cleanaway’s volumes, exacerbated in Queensland by customers deferring the disposal of waste pending expected removal of the landfill levy from July 1, and subdued activity in the manufacturing sector.

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June 22, 2012

Weekly Buy Report: Car Sales (CRZ)

[caption id="attachment_22316" align="alignleft" width="160" caption="Weekly Buy Report: Car Sales (CRZ)"]Weekly Buy Report: Car Sales (CRZ)[/caption]

Carsales.com Limited (CRZ) is an Australian business offering online access to automotive classifieds.

It is the largest consumer website in the country that covers automotive, plant machinery, motorcycle, caravan, marine and

display advertising.

Revenue is principally derived from online advertising, which includes dealer and private sales, and display adverting, where

corporate customers such as insurance companies place ads on CRZ’s website.

The group also has a data and research services division, which provides solutions to customers including importers, dealers

and industry bodies.

Industry leader

CRZ prospers even in uncertain economic times because it has been at the forefront of the continuing migration from print to online advertising.

Being proactive in identifying market trends has helped CRZ maintain leadership in its market.

Although the online advertising industry has low barriers to entry, CRZ’s trusted brand and new product offerings are key

reasons it has been able to stay ahead of the pack.

Reflecting this point, 75% of the time looking at auto ad websites was done on a carsales-owned site, this according to CRZ’s 1H12 results presentation.

1H12 earnings

CRZ’s 1H12 results continued a pattern of robust earnings and revenue growth.

For the most recent half, net profit rose 20% on-year to $27.6 million. Revenue was up a similarly healthy 22%.

CRZ declared an interim dividend of 11.3 cents per share, up from 9.4 cents in 1H11. Since FY07, half year net profit has increased at a compound annual growth rate of 40.6%, whilst revenue has grown at 28.9%.

Dealer revenue growth of 16% was delivered on the back of a steady increase in used vehicle enquiries and strong growth in new vehicle enquiries.

Private ad growth was up a more modest 7%, but with the release of new product initiatives throughout the half, coupled with a premium price rise in November, CRZ is well positioned for the second half.

Outlook

Following a buoyant first half, CRZ forecast a similarly strong second half.

The group maintains a dominant share of the online car ad market, and with new product initiatives lined up for 2012, is unlikely to relinquish its grip any time soon.

CRZ is cashed up, and with no debt, has the flexibility to pursue external growth opportunities and support its dividend. Whichmakes it a stock to watch in the future.

June 19, 2012

Elders Looking For Sale To Reduce Debt

[caption id="attachment_22296" align="alignleft" width="300" caption="Elders Looking For Sale To Reduce Debt"]Elders Looking For Sale To Reduce Debt[/caption]

Elders Ltd. offers rural services.  The Company brokers and processes wool; buys and sells grain; retails seed, fertilizer, animal health and other farm products; offers banking and insurance services; brokers and manages real estate; and markets meat.

Elders announced that the commercial conditions on the sale of some of its remaining forestry assets to U.S.-based Global Forest Partners have been satisfied.

The sale which is expected to be completed by July 18 is worth 60 million Australian dollars, with the proceeds being used to reduce the group’s debt.

It should be noted that the agreement is still subject to regulatory approval.

June 14, 2012

Perpetual Limited (PPT) Rumour Of Offer

[caption id="attachment_22281" align="alignleft" width="157" caption="Perpetual Limited (PPT) Rumour Of Offer"]Perpetual Limited (PPT) Rumour Of Offer[/caption]

Perpetual Limited is a financial services company that has two primary activities, wealth management services and corporate trust services.

The Company provides funds management, responsible entity services, trustee services, executor services, financial planning, investment administration, superannuation, custody and registry services. The group is listed on the Australian Stock Exchange and is a member of the S&P/ASX 200

Perpetual shares soared today after rumours emerged that a private equity firm is preparing to approach the asset manager with a takeover offer around $30 a share.

The company has said "Perpetual is not aware of any information relevant to the article and has no reason to believe that the article is anything other than mere speculation."

If there is an offer it will be the second in two years. The company rejected an offer from private equity firm KKR in 2012 of $38-$40 a share.

June 8, 2012

Westfield Retail Trust (WRT) Occupancy Rates Above 99.5%

[caption id="attachment_22261" align="alignleft" width="179" caption="WRT - Occupancy Rate above 99.5%"]WRT - Occupancy Rate above 99.5%[/caption]

Westfield Retail Trust (WRT) is a real estate investment trust, with an interest in 54 major shopping centres across Australia and New Zealand.

 

The asset portfolio is owned in a 50/50 joint venture with Westfield Group (WDC).

WRT was spun out of Westfield Group in late 2010 as the latter sought to recapitalise its balance sheet.

Solid March quarter

The quality of WRT’s property portfolio was evidenced in a recent presentation that revealed occupancy rates were above 99.5% at the end of the March quarter.

In the first three months of the year, comparable sales at WRT’s mini major tenants (including brands such as Zara and Apple) grew a healthy 4.3%, helping to compensate for a 1% fall among its major tenants.

Moreover, specialty store sales were up 1.2% in the year to March 31st, 2012, this despite a challenging environment for retailers.

On a per square metre basis, WRT recorded $9,765 of sales in Australia and NZ$8,202 of sales in New Zealand.

The group outperformed its peers on these metrics over the March quarter, with GPT Group logging $8,976 in sales per square metre, and Stockland Group’s occupancy rates averaging 95%.

Future growth potential

WRT’s flagship Sydney asset (Westfield Sydney), which includes food retail and a top end luxury retail precinct, was only recently developed but is expected to be a major income contributor going forward.

This is based on the likelihood of Westfield Sydney generating high occupancy sales relative to occupancy costs.

Westfield Fountain Gate is the group’s other major expansion project in Melbourne and is expected to be completed later this year.

Fountain Gate’s expansion will encompass a new format Coles supermarket as well as over 50 retailers.

Outlook

We don’t believe WRT’s outperformance is properly reflected in the share price. The group’s net asset value (NAV) is $3.26 per unit, so it appears to be trading a fairly steep discount.

Moreover, WRT guided for full year earnings/distribution guidance of 18.75 cents per security (WRT pays all of its earnings out as distributions).

This implies a healthy yield of 6.8%, which is something we think will be an attraction for income seeking investors.

WRT is also backed by a solid balance sheet and had a gearing ratio of just 21% at the end of FY11.

As such we think WRT is a stock to watch in the near-term.

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